Israel Can Live With a Nuclear Iran

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IsraelNuclearIranDebateDetails

Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Over the summer of 2012, despite increased international pressure and economic sanctions, Iran doubled the number of nuclear centrifuges installed in its underground Fordow site, stopping just short of the capacity to produce nuclear fuel.   President Obama has rejected Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s call to draw a “red line” that would trigger U.S. military action.  But what would the costs and benefits of military action be?  Can Israel live with a nuclear Iran, or could the time be near for a pre-emptive strike?

  • Dobbins2-90x90

    For

    James Dobbins

    Director, RAND International Security & Defense Policy Center

  • reuvenpedatzur90x90

    For

    Reuven Pedatzur

    Israeli Military Affairs Analyst, Ha’aretz

  • shmuelbar90x90

    Against

    Shmuel Bar

    Director of Studies, Israel’s Institute of Policy and Strategy & Fmr. Intelligence Officer

  • goldberg90x90

    Against

    Jeffrey Goldberg

    National Correspondent, The Atlantic


    • Moderator Image

      MODERATOR

      John Donvan

      Author & Correspondent for ABC News

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For The Motion

James Dobbins

Director, RAND International Security & Defense Policy Center

Ambassador James Dobbins is the director of the RAND International Security and Defense Policy Center. Dobbins has held State Department and White House posts including Assistant Secretary of State for Europe, Special Assistant to the President, Special Adviser to the President and Secretary of State for the Balkans, and Ambassador to the European Community. Dobbins has had numerous crisis management and diplomatic troubleshooting assignments as the Clinton and G.W. Bush administrations' special envoy for Afghanistan, Kosovo, Bosnia, Haiti, and Somalia. In the wake of September 11, 2001, he was named as the Bush administration's representative to the Afghan opposition with the task of putting together and installing a broadly based successor to the Taliban regime. He represented the United States at the Bonn Conference that established the new Afghan government, and, on December 16, 2001, he raised the flag over the newly reopened U.S. Embassy.

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For The Motion

Reuven Pedatzur

Israeli Military Affairs Analyst, Ha’aretz

Reuven Pedatzur is a senior military affairs analyst with Ha’aretz newspaper and Senior Lecturer in Political Science at Tel Aviv University. He currently serves as Director of the S. Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue, Netanya Academic College. He was previously an IAF fighter pilot, Academic Director of the Daniel Abraham Center for Strategic Dialogue at Netanya Academic College, and a Visiting Scholar at the Center for Strategic Studies at MIT. He is one of Israel’s leading commentators on missile defense, nuclear and other non-conventional weapons, the Israeli Defense Force’s strategic doctrine and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. His most recent book is The Rescue of King Hussein's Regime (2008). Pedatzur is a regular analyst for Israeli TV and hosts a radio show on security and strategic issues.

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Against The Motion

Shmuel Bar

Director of Studies, Israel’s Institute of Policy and Strategy & Fmr.  Intelligence Officer

Shmuel Bar is the Director of Studies at the Institute of Policy and Strategy in Herzliya, Israel. He is also a Senior Research Fellow at the International Institute for Non-Proliferation Studies and Adjunct Fellow at the Hudson Institution. In 2007, he was the Koret Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. Bar is also the founder and CEO of IntuView Ltd – an Israel-based software company. Bar served for thirty years in the Israeli government, first in the Israeli Defense Forces Intelligence, and later in analytic and operational positions in the Israeli Office of the Prime Minister.

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Against The Motion

Jeffrey Goldberg

National Correspondent, The Atlantic

Jeffrey Goldberg is a national correspondent for The Atlantic and a columnist for Bloomberg View. He is a recipient of the National Magazine Award for Reporting for his coverage of Islamic terrorism. Before joining The Atlantic in 2007, Goldberg was a Middle East correspondent, and the Washington correspondent, for The New Yorker. Previously, he served as a correspondent for The New York Times Magazine and New York Magazine. He has also written for the Jewish Daily Forward, and was a columnist for The Jerusalem Post. In 2006, Goldberg wrote Prisoners: A Story of Friendship and Terror. In 2001, Goldberg was appointed the Syrkin Fellow in Letters of the Jerusalem Foundation, and in 2002 he became a public policy scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington, D.C.

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Declared Winner: Against The Motion

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Voting Breakdown:
 

52% voted the same way in BOTH pre- and post-debate votes (16% voted FOR twice, 30% voted AGAINST twice, 6% voted UNDECIDED twice). 48% changed their mind (8% voted FOR then changed to AGAINST, 1% voted FOR then changed to UNDECIDED, 4% voted AGAINST then changed to FOR, 1% voted AGAINST then changed to UNDECIDED, 17% voted UNDECIDED then changed to FOR, 17% voted UNDECIDED then changed to AGAINST) | Breakdown Graphic

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    21 comments

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    • Comment Link Anwar Hassan Monday, 31 December 2012 05:46 posted by Anwar Hassan

      I have recently been introduced to Intelligence Square Debates by a family member who himself, while one night "channel surfing" (as they call it) stopped at a channel that was hosting the debate. And this family member, knowing that I am one who loves debates regardless of the topic/s that are beating debated, reported (what was to him a boring event but to me is an event greater than having court side sets in an NBA playoffs game) to me. And I have, ever sense, been a fan and a well satisfied one after each debate, as well. I have, regardless of what topic is being debated, always loved the debates. For they offer me knowledge and also a deeper understanding of each topic brought up for debate, something the media at times fails to do.

      Wise men argue cases, fools decide them.
      -Anacharsis.

      P.S. If ever the debaters start speaking over each other, to calm them down just remind them of the quote by Epictetus:

      "We were given two ears and one mouth so that we may listen more and speak less."

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