Sue Mi Terry is a senior fellow with the Korea Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington. Prior to joining CSIS, she had a long and distinguished career in academia, policymaking, and intelligence, serving as the deputy national intelligence officer for East Asia at the National Intelligence Council from 2009 to 2010, the director for Korea, Japan, and Oceanic affairs at the National Security Council from 2008 to 2009, and a senior analyst on Korean issues at the CIA from 2001 and 2008. She has received numerous awards for her leadership and mission support, including the CIA Foreign Language award in 2008. Terry is a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Washington Post, Foreign Affairs, and other publications.
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“Dr. Terry joins CSIS after a long and accomplished career in intelligence, policymaking, and academia following Korean issues.”
“The implied threat was clear: If the United States were to use military force against North Korea, Pyongyang would retaliate, potentially leading to hundreds of thousands or millions of casualties.”
Sue Mi Terry says U.S.-North Korea talks are a pretty big deal, but she cautions against expecting that they will lead to a resolution anytime soon.
Sue Mi Terry says North Korea denuclearization is “completely off the table.”
Sue Ni Terry advocates for harsher sanctions against North Korea and asks even if Kim Jung-un agrees to denuclearize, how can the U.S. possibly verify that?
Sue Mi Terry argues that Kim Jung-un will see through his nuclear program and believes that containment, determent, and pressure should be the U.S. strategy.
“North Korea’s call for a peace treaty is not, in any case, intended to achieve an effective and lasting peace mechanism to replace the Armistice Agreement but simply to facilitate a negotiation process that would lead to the pullout of U.S. troops from South Korea and an end to the U.S.-ROK alliance.”
Sue Mi Terry argues that it is “significant that Kim [Jong-un] spoke not of removing nuclear weapons from North Korea, but rather of the ‘denuclearization of the Korean peninsula,’ as a whole. That formulation by the Kim government is ‘not new.’”
“As former Central Intelligence Agency analysts, with combined 45 years of experience in studying the North Korean regime, we believe that any military strike against North Korea is likely to unleash a series of events that could lead to devastation and massive casualties as well as undermine Washington’s ‘maximum pressure and engagement’ strategy.”
Sue Mi Terry argues that Kim Jung-un wants reunification on the North’s terms.
“Engaging with the Kim regime prematurely is not likely to either denuclearization, a goal the U.S. should not abandon, or, in the long run, peace and stability of the Korean Peninsula.”
“The long-term benefits of North Korea’s collapse, both strategic and economic, far outweigh the short-term costs.”